Vila Nova vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 3
VIL
46%
25%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
BRA
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 0
VIL
10%
17%
73%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
CUI
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +3 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CUI
1 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 3
GOI
25%
23%
53%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 0
VIL
10%
17%
73%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
APA
1 - 0
JAR
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 5
CAC
68%
18%
15%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 2
IPO
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |