Vila Nova vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
32.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
VIL
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
LON
37%
30%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
TOM
0 - 0
VIL
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
ITU
33%
30%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
VIL
36%
30%
35%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 2
CRB
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 1
SAM
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
BAH
27%
28%
45%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 1
SAM
43%
29%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
TOM
3 - 0
SAM
41%
28%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |