Vila Nova vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
48.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
BOA
3 - 0
VIL
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
JEC
18%
26%
56%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 5
CEA
13%
23%
64%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 1
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 0
BRA
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 1
NAU
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 2
SAM
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 1
SAM
75%
17%
9%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 0
POR
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |