Vila Nova vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
GOI
78%
16%
6%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GOI
2 - 2
VIL
11%
22%
67%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
IPO
1 - 3
VIL
9%
21%
70%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
GOI
79%
16%
5%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 0
MOR
80%
15%
5%
|
80 | 40 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NVE
1 - 2
RIO
37%
24%
39%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 1
REA
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
REA
1 - 2
RIO
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NVE
0 - 2
RIO
45%
23%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 0
VIT
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |