Vila Nova vs Rio Branco-VN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
CRB
26%
29%
46%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 2
VIL
27%
31%
42%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
REM
40%
30%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PPE
1 - 1
VIL
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
OPE
35%
33%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco-VN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
INT
0 - 1
RVV
11%
17%
73%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
RVV
2 - 1
PAT
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BOA
3 - 1
RVV
40%
28%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
RVV
0 - 0
FER
35%
30%
35%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
RVV
2 - 2
AGU
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |