Vila Nova vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
36.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
CRB
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
VIL
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
VAS
15%
26%
59%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 2
VIL
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 1
BRA
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
LON
1 - 1
PAR
30%
29%
41%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
OES
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 2
PAR
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 0
BAH
29%
30%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
PAR
64%
21%
14%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |