Vila Nova vs Palmas FR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.6%
2-0
19.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
25%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.4%
4.6%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
REM
2 - 3
VIL
37%
30%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
6 - 0
GOI
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
5 - 1
REM
44%
29%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 1
VIL
23%
27%
50%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ITU
0 - 1
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palmas FR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 0
REA
13%
19%
68%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 1
VIL
27%
25%
48%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 0
PAL
78%
14%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 2
ALA
12%
20%
68%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BAH
5 - 0
PAL
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |