Vila Nova vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
32.6%
Draw
0-0
16.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.6%
32.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GOI
1 - 2
VIL
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
CON
47%
29%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
COT
1 - 0
VIL
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
NAU
29%
30%
41%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 1
VIL
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
OPE
34%
31%
35%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
OPE
1 - 2
PPE
49%
27%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
CRZ
1 - 1
OPE
60%
25%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 0
OPE
51%
28%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
OPE
0 - 1
VIT
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |