Copa Verde Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Vila Nova vs Nova Mutum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
LON
43%
29%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
VAS
30%
30%
41%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 0
VIL
42%
29%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
GUA
35%
30%
36%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
7 - 0
AQU
76%
18%
7%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
NME
1 - 0
BRA
22%
22%
56%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
NME
59%
21%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 4
NME
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 3
NME
21%
21%
58%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NME
0 - 2
UBE
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -2 |