Vila Nova vs Morrinhos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
APA
0 - 2
VIL
43%
24%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
VIL
79%
15%
7%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 2
ITU
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
GOI
1 - 0
VIL
29%
24%
47%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 4
VIL
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Morrinhos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 2
ATL
10%
15%
75%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ITU
1 - 1
MOR
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 4
RIO
50%
23%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
APA
1 - 1
MOR
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 4
VIL
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |