Vila Nova vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 1
VIL
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
TUP
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 1
DUQ
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 2
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 1
MAC
36%
27%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 0
MAD
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 0
TUP
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
DUQ
0 - 2
MAD
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |