Vila Nova vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 1
VIL
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
ABC
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 0
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 2
DUQ
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SAO
3 - 1
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 2
JUV
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 0
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
JUV
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 0
BRA
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ABC
2 - 1
JUV
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |