Vila Nova vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
56.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 5
CEA
13%
23%
64%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 1
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 3
PPE
13%
24%
63%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
AMF
20%
26%
54%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 1
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ARN
1 - 0
JEC
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 0
JEC
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 1
AMF
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
JEC
2 - 0
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |