Vila Nova vs Inhumas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GOI
0 - 2
VIL
13%
21%
66%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
GRE
79%
17%
5%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 0
IPO
72%
20%
9%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
ATL
18%
26%
56%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Inhumas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
IPO
3 - 1
INH
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
INH
0 - 1
GOI
5%
12%
83%
|
37 | 77 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
5 - 2
INH
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
APA
2 - 0
INH
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
INH
0 - 1
GOI
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |