Vila Nova vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ICA
1 - 4
VIL
59%
22%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
POR
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 2
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
NAU
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 1
BRA
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 1
SPO
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 2
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
COT
30%
27%
44%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
FFL
2 - 2
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ARN
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |