Vila Nova vs Goiatuba EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
11%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
16.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.9%
2-0
18.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.1%
10%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
10%
2.4%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
OVD
0 - 1
VIL
6%
16%
79%
|
82 | 28 | 54 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
GOI
3 - 1
VIL
6%
17%
77%
|
82 | 44 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 1
LUV
82%
13%
4%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 0
GOI
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
0 - 0
CRA
82%
14%
4%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Goiatuba EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
GIO
0 - 3
JAT
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
ATL
0 - 0
GIO
93%
6%
1%
|
44 | 87 | 43 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CRA
0 - 0
GIO
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
GIO
0 - 1
OVD
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
GOI
2 - 2
GIO
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |