Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-5
Vila Nova vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
59.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
NAU
42%
29%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
LON
2 - 2
VIL
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
TOM
56%
27%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ITU
3 - 1
VIL
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
FLU
3 - 2
VIL
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 1
FLU
65%
21%
15%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
JUN
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
COT
3 - 2
FLU
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
FLU
0 - 0
CAU
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
FLU
0 - 1
SCI
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |