Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 1-2
Vila Nova vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
GRE
72%
19%
9%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
ITU
0 - 1
VIL
12%
21%
67%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 3
APA
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
VIL
19%
22%
59%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 1
VIL
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 0
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
GLO
1 - 0
FER
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
FER
0 - 3
CEA
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
IGU
2 - 2
FER
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
VIL
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |