Vila Nova vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 2
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 1
OES
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GOI
3 - 0
VIL
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
GOI
22%
22%
56%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 2
DUQ
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
DUQ
0 - 2
MAD
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 2
DUQ
57%
23%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 4
MAD
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
OLA
0 - 0
DUQ
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |