Vila Nova vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
AMF
1 - 0
VIL
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
LUV
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
VIL
37%
28%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
ABC
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 0
VIL
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CRB
1 - 2
CRI
46%
26%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 0
CRB
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CRB
0 - 1
OES
52%
25%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
CRB
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CRB
2 - 2
LUV
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |