Vila Nova vs CRAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
14.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
GAL
0 - 1
VIL
11%
20%
68%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GOI
2 - 1
VIL
15%
22%
63%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 1
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
GRE
66%
22%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
JAR
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
APA
0 - 0
CRA
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
IPO
1 - 0
CRA
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ANA
0 - 1
CRA
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
CRA
0 - 0
GOI
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
CRA
3 - 0
UBE
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |