Vila Nova vs CRAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GOI
0 - 0
VIL
80%
14%
5%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
TRI
0 - 2
VIL
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
ANA
50%
25%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 1
VIL
52%
23%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
SAM
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 1
APA
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 3
ANA
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GOI
3 - 0
CRA
31%
25%
45%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRA
58%
23%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 0
DUQ
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |