Vila Nova vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
24.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
COT
1 - 0
VIL
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
NAU
29%
30%
41%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 1
VIL
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
AVA
24%
30%
47%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 2
VIL
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
SAM
26%
28%
47%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
CON
42%
30%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
CON
1 - 2
CRB
22%
26%
52%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
CON
1 - 2
GOI
21%
26%
53%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CRZ
1 - 0
CON
72%
19%
9%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |