Vila Nova vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 2
VIL
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
IFC
4 - 0
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
ITU
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 2
FFL
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BAH
1 - 0
CEA
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CEA
0 - 2
VAS
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 2
CEA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEA
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |