Vila Nova vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 0
VIL
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
5 - 1
MAD
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 1
VIL
62%
23%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
TUP
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 1
DUQ
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAX
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
TUP
2 - 0
BRA
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHA
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
BRA
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
OES
2 - 1
BRA
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |