Copa Verde 1/16
Global 2-1
Vila Nova vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GOI
0 - 0
VIL
68%
21%
12%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
ANA
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
TRI
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
VIL
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 1
VIL
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
BRA
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 0
BRA
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
VIL
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
BRA
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |