Vila Nova vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
58.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2014 |
CEA
4 - 0
VIL
83%
13%
5%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
ARN
15%
24%
61%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 0
VIL
78%
16%
6%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
AMF
2 - 0
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
ICA
31%
28%
42%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
VAS
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 0
OES
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
ICA
3 - 0
BRA
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LUV
2 - 0
BRA
33%
27%
39%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 2
AMF
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |