Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 3-2
Vila Nova vs Bragantino PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 0
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATL
29%
25%
45%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
CRA
1 - 0
VIL
10%
19%
71%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 0
CRA
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
GOI
1 - 0
VIL
9%
17%
74%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Bragantino PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
REM
0 - 0
BPA
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
BPA
0 - 1
REM
25%
23%
52%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
BPA
1 - 0
IND
53%
22%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
TAP
0 - 2
BPA
12%
18%
70%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
REC
1 - 1
BPA
21%
21%
58%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |