Vila Nova vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
26%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 0
VIL
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
REM
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
3 - 0
FER
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PAY
0 - 0
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
MAN
62%
25%
13%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BOT
7 - 0
IMP
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
JAC
65%
20%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOT
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
MAN
3 - 2
BOT
27%
29%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 1
FER
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |