Vila Nova vs Boa EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
38.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 0
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
BRA
16%
25%
59%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
CEA
4 - 0
VIL
83%
13%
5%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
ARN
15%
24%
61%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 0
VIL
78%
16%
6%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 2
VAS
14%
24%
62%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
PPE
1 - 0
BOA
72%
19%
9%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 2
SAN
36%
29%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 0
AVA
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
LUV
4 - 2
BOA
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |