Vila Nova vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
IPO
2 - 0
VIL
9%
22%
69%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 0
IPO
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 2
ATL
21%
29%
50%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
APA
2 - 1
VIL
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 1
VIL
11%
23%
66%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
APA
1 - 2
ATL
13%
22%
64%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 0
APA
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
APA
2 - 1
CRA
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
APA
2 - 1
VIL
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
GIO
1 - 1
APA
14%
19%
67%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |