Vila Nova vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
LUZ
74%
19%
7%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 2
VIL
35%
30%
36%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
CRI
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 1
FFL
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
BRA
5 - 0
VIL
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
APA
2 - 3
NOV
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
CEI
4 - 4
APA
30%
27%
44%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
SIN
0 - 2
APA
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
APA
0 - 1
SIN
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
APA
3 - 2
CEI
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |