Vila Nova vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
FER
1 - 1
VIL
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 1
VIL
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
JEC
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
RIO
75%
18%
8%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
ANA
73%
19%
9%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
IPO
1 - 1
APA
29%
28%
44%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
CUI
3 - 1
APA
61%
23%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
APA
2 - 0
ANA
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
APA
0 - 0
ATL
16%
22%
63%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
GOI
1 - 0
APA
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |