Vila Nova vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
GOI
5 - 1
VIL
11%
19%
71%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 2
VAS
22%
24%
54%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ANA
0 - 1
VIL
13%
20%
67%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATL
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
APA
1 - 0
IPO
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CRA
0 - 1
APA
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
APA
2 - 0
ITU
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
GOI
1 - 2
APA
75%
18%
8%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
APA
3 - 1
CRA
51%
25%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |