Vila Nova vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 0
ANA
67%
18%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GOI
3 - 1
VIL
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 0
RIO
64%
19%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 1
VIL
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
SPO
26%
26%
49%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
APA
1 - 1
RIO
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ANA
1 - 1
APA
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
APA
3 - 1
GOI
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GOI
5 - 0
APA
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
APA
4 - 2
ANA
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |