Vila Nova vs Anapolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GOI
3 - 1
VIL
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 0
RIO
64%
19%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 1
VIL
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
SPO
26%
26%
49%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
VIL
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ANA
1 - 1
APA
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 1
ANA
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ANA
2 - 1
MOR
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ANA
2 - 2
TUP
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
TUP
4 - 1
ANA
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |