Vila Nova vs Anapolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GOI
0 - 1
VIL
22%
22%
56%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
SAO
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
NAU
4 - 1
VIL
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BRA
5 - 1
VIL
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
SPO
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ANA
2 - 0
APA
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 3
ANA
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ANA
5 - 1
CAN
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 0
ANA
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ANA
1 - 4
ITU
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |