CBF Brasileiro U23 Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Vila Nova U23 vs Fluminense U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
FLU
2 - 1
VIL
40%
24%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
AVA
2 - 5
VIL
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
CEA
31%
25%
45%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
GRE
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 3
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
FLU
2 - 1
VIL
40%
24%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
FLU
1 - 1
RBB
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 0
FLU
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
COR
0 - 2
FLU
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |