Vila Meã vs Vitória SC B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
45.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8º
14º
14º
34
3º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
SAO
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
FFC
1 - 3
VIL
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
GON
4 - 2
VIL
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
BMA
22%
25%
54%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +4 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória SC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VSC
2 - 0
REB
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 0
VSC
57%
24%
20%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 1
VSC
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VSC
1 - 1
FFC
72%
15%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VSC
1 - 1
ADM
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -1 |