Vila Meã vs Rebordosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
51.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8º
14º
14º
36
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
VIL
61%
21%
17%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
ADM
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ODO
2 - 1
VIL
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
SAL
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +3 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ACD
2 - 0
VIL
20%
21%
60%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Rebordosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
REB
0 - 2
SAO
45%
28%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FFC
0 - 0
REB
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
REB
0 - 0
GON
56%
25%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BMA
1 - 3
REB
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
REB
1 - 0
VAL
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |