Vila Meã vs Pevidém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
14º
5º
43
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
VIL
31%
23%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
BRI
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 1
VIL
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 4
VIL
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
VIA
40%
23%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pevidém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PEV
4 - 0
VIA
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TIR
1 - 2
PEV
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PEV
0 - 0
VPE
52%
21%
26%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MER
0 - 1
PEV
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PEV
3 - 1
PED
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |