Vila Meã vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
61.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 0
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
PAR
28%
25%
47%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BSC
1 - 1
VIL
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 5
FEI
5%
12%
83%
|
21 | 68 | 47 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 0
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 0
SMA
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
TIR
0 - 1
AMA
39%
26%
36%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AMA
5 - 0
SMP
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 1
AMA
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 3
AMA
25%
22%
54%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |