Vila Meã vs Santa Marta Penaguião analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAM
86%
10%
5%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 1
VIL
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SMP
0 - 0
VIL
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 2
SMP
58%
20%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
VIL
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Santa Marta Penaguião
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SMP
1 - 1
CAM
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 1
SMP
13%
17%
70%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SMP
0 - 0
VIL
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 2
SMP
58%
20%
23%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SMP
1 - 0
MAC
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |