Vila Meã vs AD Marco 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+657%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8º
14º
14º
41
4º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ODO
2 - 1
VIL
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
SAL
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +3 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ACD
2 - 0
VIL
20%
21%
60%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 2
VSC
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
SAO
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
AD Marco 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ADM
0 - 0
SAO
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FFC
0 - 0
ADM
50%
22%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ADM
0 - 0
GON
33%
24%
43%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BMA
2 - 1
ADM
70%
19%
12%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ADM
3 - 1
VAL
15%
18%
66%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | +6 |