Vila Meã vs Recreativa de Lamelas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1028%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8º
14º
14º
24
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VSC
4 - 2
VIL
37%
22%
41%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
VIL
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
FFC
89%
8%
3%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
BRA
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativa de Lamelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ACD
0 - 1
SAO
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 1
ACD
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ACD
0 - 2
GON
9%
17%
74%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ACD
0 - 0
CAM
11%
16%
73%
|
8 | 34 | 26 | +2 |