Vila Flor vs Sousense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
49.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Flor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 0
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 3
BOA
15%
23%
62%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 2
SAL
26%
24%
51%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GON
1 - 1
VIL
67%
21%
12%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 0
PER
63%
20%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 1
GON
29%
27%
44%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PER
0 - 0
SOU
16%
21%
63%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SOU
3 - 0
AMA
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
COI
4 - 1
SOU
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
SCF
17%
23%
60%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | +1 |