Vila Flor vs Perafita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Flor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
AMA
5 - 0
VIL
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
COI
34%
25%
41%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
MER
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SCF
4 - 0
VIL
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Perafita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FAF
2 - 1
PER
80%
14%
6%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PER
1 - 1
GON
14%
21%
65%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | +3 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
PER
0 - 3
SAL
15%
21%
64%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
TMO
1 - 2
PER
43%
23%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
AMA
4 - 1
PER
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |