Vila Aurora vs Peñarol AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
PLA
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 0
VIL
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 1
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
LUV
1 - 2
VIL
71%
18%
10%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 2
CUI
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
NAC
47%
24%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEN
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 2
NAC
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |