Vila Aurora vs Náuas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
MIX
1 - 1
VIL
50%
25%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
URO
1 - 1
VIL
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 1
URO
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 1
CRA
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 1
VIL
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Náuas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 2
VIL
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 1
NAU
85%
10%
5%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2010 |
NAU
3 - 5
RIO
16%
19%
64%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 0
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 2
NAU
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |