Vila Aurora vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
VIL
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CUI
3 - 1
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
PEN
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
PLA
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 0
VIL
60%
23%
18%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CUI
3 - 1
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 0
CUI
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CUI
3 - 1
NAC
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 2
CUI
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CUI
1 - 1
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |